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Raiders Eye Long-Term Future with Arch Manning as Geno Smith’s Successor

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Table of Contents

The Strategic Shift in Las Vegas

Despite a disappointing 4-13 season in 2024, the Las Vegas Raiders are positioning themselves for sustained success by focusing on securing a franchise quarterback. With Geno Smith’s contract set to expire after 2026, the team is already targeting Texas Longhorns quarterback Arch Manning as a cornerstone for their future. This aligns with recent moves like hiring Super Bowl-winning coach Pete Carroll and acquiring Smith to stabilize the present.

Geno Smith: A Reliable Bridge

Performance and Challenges

In his first season with the Raiders (2025), Smith delivered 4,320 passing yards and 21 touchdowns, though his 15 interceptions underscored areas needing improvement. His $31 million cap hit and one-year team option after 2026 make him an ideal transitional figure while the team prepares for Manning’s potential arrival.

Raiders Eye Long-Term Future with Arch Manning as Geno Smith’s Successor

Arch Manning: The Future Investment

Rising Star Profile

Manning, nephew of NFL legends Peyton and Eli Manning, has emerged as a generational prospect. In 2024, he showed promise with a 67.8% completion rate (939 yards, 9 TDs) in limited action, plus 806 rushing yards and 8 TDs. ESPN projects him as the most impactful player in college football for 2025.

Path to the NFL

Analysts suggest the Raiders could draft Manning at No. 9 in 2026, mirroring the Packers’ Aaron Rodgers-Brett Favre mentorship model. Carroll’s offense, emphasizing creativity and adaptability, fits Manning’s skill set perfectly. The team has hinted at trading up in the draft if needed to secure him.

Building a Sustainable Program

Immediate Needs and Long-Term Vision

The 2025 draft prioritized defensive upgrades (e.g., selecting CB Will Johnson), but the long-term focus remains on Manning. Tom Brady’s role as a minority owner adds veteran mentorship potential, alongside Carroll’s strategic leadership. This combination aims to create a culture of sustained competitiveness.