Knicks vs. Pacers Game 2 Player Props: 3 Strategic Bets for Conference Finals
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After a dramatic 121-117 overtime victory by Indiana in Game 1, the Pacers host New York in Friday's crucial Eastern Conference Finals matchup. With championship aspirations on the line, we analyze three player props offering exceptional value based on recent performance trends and tactical matchups.
Top Value Bets
1. Myles Turner: Over 1.5 Three-Pointers (+110)
Indiana's center has transformed into a perimeter threat against New York, averaging 2.3 threes per game during regular-season matchups. The Knicks' defensive strategy focusing on Haliburton/Siakam creates open looks for Turner, particularly concerning given:
- Mitchell Robinson's season-ending ankle injury weakening interior defense
- Turner's 5/7 playoff games with 2+ three-pointers this postseason
- 48% three-point accuracy against New York in 2023-24
2. Jalen Brunson: Over 35.5 Points (-115)
New York's offensive engine continues to defy expectations, averaging 38.6 points in his last seven playoff contests. Key factors supporting this prop:
- Pacers rank 24th in defensive rating against primary ball handlers
- Brunson's 43-point Game 1 performance despite 27% three-point shooting
- Increased usage rate (38.7%) with Anunoby's injury limiting secondary options
3. Ben Sheppard: Over 4.5 Points (+105)
Indiana's rookie sharpshooter has become a playoff X-factor, with his role expanding due to:
- Bennedict Mathurin's season-ending Shoulder injury
- 50% three-point accuracy in 20.3 playoff minutes per game
- Knicks' bench allowing 38.2% from deep this postseason
Key Game Dynamics
Bench Production Mismatch
Indiana's reserves outscored New York's 46-3 in Game 1, with Obi Toppin and T.J. McConnell combining for 28 points. This disparity could widen given the Knicks' shortened rotation.
Pace & Space Warfare
Both teams rank top-5 in playoff pace, with 16 of New York's last 19 games hitting the over. Mitchell Robinson's absence (1.7 blocks/game) creates transition opportunities for Indiana's 3rd-ranked fastbreak offense.
Haliburton's Health Watch
While Tyrese Haliburton managed 8 assists in Game 1 despite back spasms, his 6-point output marked a playoff low. Improved mobility could unlock Indiana's full offensive potential.
Strategic Conclusion
These props capitalize on verified trends: Turner's perimeter efficiency against compromised defense, Brunson's unsustainable scoring load, and Sheppard's growing role in Indiana's second unit. With Madison Square Garden hosting Games 3-4, New York must address defensive rotations quickly to avoid a potentially insurmountable 0-2 deficit.