Braves Face Pitching Puzzle as Spencer Strider Nears Comeback
Atlanta's rotation plans just got complicated - in the best possible way. Spencer Strider's imminent return from a hamstring injury has created a high-stakes game of musical chairs for the Braves' pitching staff. The 25-year-old fireballer threw 45 pitches in a May 11 bullpen session declaring "I'm back to full strength," but manager Brian Snitker now faces tough choices with two rookie pitchers outperforming expectations.
From Crisis to Embarrassment of Riches
The Braves' pitching situation has flipped dramatically in three weeks:
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Strider's April 16 hamstring strain initially left rotation gaps
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Rookies AJ Smith-Shawver (1.42 ERA) and Bryce Elder (3.52 ERA last 4 starts) emerged as reliable arms
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Veteran Chris Sale continues defying age with 11.3 K/9 rate
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Bullpen maintains MLB's best ERA (2.34) since late April
This turnaround comes after losing three starters in the offseason, including 2023 Cy Young finalist Max Fried. "We went from scrambling to having almost too many options," pitching coach Rick Kranitz told reporters Wednesday.
The Strider Factor
Atlanta's $75 million ace brings unique value:
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MLB's fastest average fastball (97.4 mph) among qualified starters
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.158 batting average against his wipeout slider in 2023
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20-win season cut short by 2024 elbow surgery
But concerns linger:
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No minor league rehab starts before return
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History of arm/shoulder issues
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Pitch clock rules Strider blames for increased injuries
Roster Chess Game
Snitker's immediate decisions:
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Protect Strider's health while maximizing impact
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Maintain rookie pitchers' confidence
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Keep bullpen intact (MLB-low 89 pitches per game)
Possible solutions circulating in the clubhouse:
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Six-man rotation during 17-game grind
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Piggyback starts (Strider + reliever)
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Bullpen demotions (risking MLB-best relief ERA)
Playoff Implications
With Philadelphia leading the NL East by seven games, Atlanta needs Strider's arm but can't afford another breakdown. Team physician Dr. Gary Lourie confirmed to ESPN: "The hamstring has healed, but the elbow remains a watch point."
As third baseman Austin Riley put it: "We want Spence firing bullets in October, not just May." The Braves' next 10 games against division rivals could dictate whether they rush their ace back or stick with their surprising rookie combo.
The Verdict
Expect Strider to return May 17 against San Diego with strict pitch limits (75-80 pitches). Smith-Shawver likely moves to long relief while Elder keeps his rotation spot. This conservative approach balances immediate needs with protecting Atlanta's $215 million investment in their franchise pitcher.
Key stats to watch:
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Strider's fastball velocity (needs 96+ mph)
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Bullpen workload (currently 2nd-fewest IP in NL)
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Rookies' performance against lefty-heavy lineups
One thing's certain: In an era of fragile pitching arms, having too many quality starters is a problem every MLB team wishes they had.