Oilers vs. Stars Game 5 Betting Preview: Can Dallas Avoid Elimination?
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The Edmonton Oilers stand one win away from their first Stanley Cup Final appearance since 2006, holding a 3-1 series advantage over the Dallas Stars. Edmonton's offense has exploded for 10 goals in the last three games, while Dallas searches for answers after scoring just 3 goals in the same span.
Edmonton's Winning Formula
Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl continue to dominate with 13 combined points this series. Their chemistry reached new heights in Game 4 when Draisaitl set up McDavid's game-winning goal through three defenders. Depth contributions from Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (2 power-play goals in Game 4) and Stuart Skinner's .939 save percentage have made Edmonton nearly unstoppable.
Dallas' Uphill Battle
The Stars face elimination despite outshooting Edmonton 34-28 in Game 3. Key issues include: - Top-line silence: Tyler Seguin & Jamie Benn have 0 points since Game 1 - Power play struggles: 1-for-8 conversion rate since series opener - Oettinger's dip: .903 save percentage this series vs .934 in earlier playoffs
Game-Changing Factors
Special Teams Tug-of-War
Edmonton's power play conversion rate (66.7% in Game 4) could decide this matchup. Their penalty kill has neutralized Dallas' power play, holding them to 0-for-9 in the series.
injury Impact
Zach Hyman's playoff-ending wrist injury removes Edmonton's physical leader (111 hits). Look for Evander Kane to increase his net-front presence against Dallas defenders.
Home Ice Reality Check
While Dallas boasts a 7-2 home playoff record, Edmonton has won 5 of their last 6 road games. The Stars need better puck management after committing 12 turnovers in Game 4.
Coaching Chess Match
Dallas coach Pete DeBoer plans to simplify offensive strategies: "We're focusing on second-chance opportunities rather than highlight-reel plays." Edmonton's Jay Woodcroft counters: "Our defensive structure starts with backchecking - we can't afford lazy shifts."
Betting Breakdown
Moneyline Value
Dallas (-127) enters as home favorites, but Edmonton (+113) offers better value given their 3-game win streak and road success.
Smart Plays
- Total Goals: Under 6 (-120) - 7 of last 8 meetings stayed below
- First Period Over 1.5 Goals (+110) - Both teams average 1.3 1st-period goals
- McDavid Anytime Goal (+140) - 8 goals in last 10 elimination games
Final Prediction
Edmonton's offensive depth and Skinner's goaltending give them a 60% win probability, but Dallas' desperate home push could force overtime. Expect a 3-2 Oilers victory with McDavid sealing the series-clinching goal.